Week |
Topic |
Readings/ |
Comments |
Starting |
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Chapters |
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01/09 |
Introduction to Modeling |
Readings
Free will?
Evolution of simulations: Nance & Sargent 2002
Fundamentals of simulation modeling: Sanchez 2007
Taxanomy of Simulation Modeling: Fishwick 1998
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Notes |
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01/16 |
Fundamentals of Probability Theory |
Notes |
No class on 01/16 |
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01/23 |
Relevant Distributions |
HW 1 |
No class on 01/23, 01/25 |
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01/30 |
Stochastic Processes
Introduction to Markov Processes
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Law 2.2, 2.7-2.8, Taylor 3
Notes
HW 2
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Extra classes:
01/31: 8am, 301J Dillman
02/02: 8am, 301J Dillman
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02/06 |
Markov Chains: Inventory Model & Problems
Long-term Behavior of Markov Chains
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Taylor 4
Notes
Notes
Notes
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No class on 02/10 |
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02/13 |
Markov Chains:
Random walk: Gambler's ruin,
Cash Management Problems
Success Runs, Replacement Policies
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Taylor 3
Notes
Notes
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02/20 |
Q-ing Theory: M/M/1 Systems
General Results from Q-ing Theory
Birth Death Processes & M/M/s Systems
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Law 1.4, Taylor 6
Notes
Spring Fling Data (.xls)
Spring Fling Data (.csv)
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02/27 |
Building Discrete Event Simulations |
Law 6.1, 6.2, 6.4 |
Exam 1: 3pm -6pm,
Wednesday, 02/29
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Event Graphs |
Law 1.1 -1.9 |
No Class on 02/29 and 03/02.
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03/05 |
Spring break |
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03/12 |
Introduction to CTMC |
Notes
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Guest lecture by Mr. Yongliang Jin,
PhD Candidate
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03/19 |
Applying CTMC: M/M/s Systems
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Classwork
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03/26 |
Revision |
In class problem solving |
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04/02 |
Systems Thinking:
Stocks, Flows & Causal Feedback Loops
Exponential Growth & Decay
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Sterman 5,6,7,8 |
No class on 04/02 |
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04/02 |
Linear First Order Systems
S-Shaped Growth
Time delays |
Sterman 5,6,7,8 |
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04/09 |
System Dynamics Simulations |
Sterman 5,6,7,8 |
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04/16 |
Simulation Validation and Verification |
Law 4,6 |
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